Exeter City
18:45
Crewe
Tue 20 Oct, 18:45
St James Park
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
39%
Bookmakers 37%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 33%
Us 39%Bookmakers 37%
Edge +1.3 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+1.3%).
- Home win: 39% against a market price of 37% (+1.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsExeter City
DWDWL
- 17 Oct · A v Colchester 0–0 (xG 0.30–1.22)
- 10 Oct · A v Shrewsbury 1–0 (xG 1.01–1.96)
- 6 Oct · H v Oxford United 2–2
- 3 Oct · H v Rotherham 1–0 (xG 2.15–0.37)
- 26 Sep · A v Bristol Rovers 0–1
Crewe
WWDWD
- 17 Oct · H v Rochdale 3–2 (xG 1.53–0.89)
- 10 Oct · A v Swindon Town 1–0 (xG 2.00–1.08)
- 6 Oct · A v Blackpool 2–2
- 3 Oct · H v Bristol Rovers 3–1 (xG 1.31–1.93)
- 26 Sep · A v Rotherham 1–1
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.