York
18:45
Accrington ST
Tue 20 Oct, 18:45
York`s LNER Community Stadium
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Match resultAway winUpset WatchUs 18%Books 14% Edge +4.6 pts Best odds 7.50 (Bet365) Expected return +37.1%
Our pick: Away win
Upset WatchHome win
59%
Bookmakers 66%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 20%
Away win
18%
Bookmakers 14%
Us 18%Bookmakers 14%
Edge +4.6 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Upset Watch: underdog priced 4.6% too long by the market (2.4× our uncertainty).
- Away win: 18% against a market price of 14% (+4.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsYork
DDWDL
- 17 Oct · A v Newport County 1–1 (xG 1.09–1.04)
- 10 Oct · H v Northampton 1–1 (xG 2.32–1.03)
- 26 Sep · H v Gillingham 3–0
- 22 Sep · H v Rotherham 1–1
- 19 Sep · A v Chesterfield 0–2 (xG 0.51–3.33)
Accrington ST
WDDWD
- 17 Oct · H v Gillingham 3–1 (xG 1.46–0.54)
- 10 Oct · A v Oldham 0–0 (xG 1.12–0.40)
- 6 Oct · H v Salford City 1–1
- 3 Oct · H v Cheltenham 2–0 (xG 3.60–0.19)
- 26 Sep · A v Swindon Town 1–1
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.