Chesterfield
5–1
Crewe
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00
Proact Stadium
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
54%
Bookmakers 57%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 19%
Us 54%Bookmakers 57%
Edge -4.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 54% against a market price of 57% (-4.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsChesterfield
DLDWL
- 20 Oct · H v Colchester 1–1 (xG 2.23–0.72)
- 17 Oct · A v Port Vale 0–1 (xG 0.28–0.61)
- 10 Oct · A v Crawley Town 2–2 (xG 2.05–2.20)
- 3 Oct · H v Tranmere 4–2 (xG 3.89–0.53)
- 26 Sep · A v Cheltenham 1–2
Crewe
LWWDW
- 20 Oct · A v Exeter City 0–2 (xG 0.70–1.91)
- 17 Oct · H v Rochdale 3–2 (xG 1.53–0.89)
- 10 Oct · A v Swindon Town 1–0 (xG 2.00–1.08)
- 6 Oct · A v Blackpool 2–2
- 3 Oct · H v Bristol Rovers 3–1 (xG 1.31–1.93)
Head-to-head
Chesterfield 2 · draws 1 · Crewe 2, 5.0 goals a game
- 25 Apr 2026 · Chesterfield 2–0 Crewe (League Two)
- 22 Nov 2025 · Crewe 3–3 Chesterfield (League Two)
- 2 Sep 2025 · Crewe 7–1 Chesterfield (EFL Trophy)
- 1 Mar 2025 · Chesterfield 1–3 Crewe (League Two)
- 17 Aug 2024 · Crewe 0–5 Chesterfield (League Two)