Exeter City
2–1
Fleetwood Town
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00
St James Park
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
41%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 41%Bookmakers 39%
Edge +1.7 pts
Uncertainty ±4.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 41% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.7% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 41% against a market price of 39% (+1.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsExeter City
WDWDW
- 20 Oct · H v Crewe 2–0 (xG 1.91–0.70)
- 17 Oct · A v Colchester 0–0 (xG 0.30–1.22)
- 10 Oct · A v Shrewsbury 1–0 (xG 1.01–1.96)
- 6 Oct · H v Oxford United 2–2
- 3 Oct · H v Rotherham 1–0 (xG 2.15–0.37)
Fleetwood Town
LWDWL
- 20 Oct · A v Cheltenham 2–4 (xG 2.38–1.91)
- 17 Oct · H v Rotherham 2–0 (xG 1.67–1.05)
- 10 Oct · H v Walsall 1–1 (xG 3.17–1.25)
- 6 Oct · H v Barnsley 4–1
- 3 Oct · A v Salford City 0–1
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.