Northampton
2–0
Colchester
Sat 24 Oct, 11:30
Sixfields Stadium
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
40%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 40%Bookmakers 47%
Edge -6.3 pts
Uncertainty ±4.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 47% (-6.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNorthampton
LWDLL
- 20 Oct · H v Tranmere 0–1 (xG 1.37–0.84)
- 17 Oct · A v Grimsby 2–0 (xG 1.66–2.84)
- 10 Oct · A v York 1–1 (xG 1.03–2.32)
- 6 Oct · A v Cambridge United 1–2
- 19 Sep · H v Rotherham 0–1 (xG 1.33–1.63)
Colchester
DDLDD
- 20 Oct · A v Chesterfield 1–1 (xG 0.72–2.23)
- 17 Oct · H v Exeter City 0–0 (xG 1.22–0.30)
- 10 Oct · A v Newport County 0–1 (xG 0.73–1.64)
- 3 Oct · H v Luton 1–1
- 26 Sep · A v Shrewsbury 2–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.