Leicester
19:45
Wigan
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45
King Power Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 84% Best odds 1.17 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
63%
Bookmakers 69%
Draw
21%
Bookmakers 18%
Away win
16%
Bookmakers 13%
Us 63%Bookmakers 69%
Edge -5.6 pts
Uncertainty ±4.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-11.2% expected per unit).
- Home win: 63% against a market price of 69% (-5.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 5 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLeicester
LWWLL
- 24 Oct · A v Luton 1–2 (xG 1.09–1.68)
- 20 Oct · A v Bromley 4–0 (xG 2.35–0.26)
- 17 Oct · H v Doncaster 2–1 (xG 1.80–0.62)
- 10 Oct · H v Peterborough 1–3 (xG 2.43–1.52)
- 6 Oct · A v Stevenage 1–2
Wigan
LLWLW
- 24 Oct · A v Huddersfield 1–2 (xG 0.54–3.08)
- 20 Oct · A v Oxford United 1–2 (xG 0.54–1.99)
- 17 Oct · H v Reading 1–0 (xG 1.20–2.01)
- 10 Oct · A v Stevenage 0–1 (xG 0.19–2.08)
- 22 Sep · H v Blackpool 3–2
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.