Oxford United
19:45
Stockport County
Tue 27 Oct, 19:45
Kassam Stadium
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 80%Books 81% Best odds 1.23 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
46%
Bookmakers 48%
Us 46%Bookmakers 48%
Edge -1.4 pts
Uncertainty ±3.7%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 46% against a market price of 48% (-1.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsOxford United
DWDWD
- 24 Oct · H v Bradford 0–0 (xG 1.72–1.45)
- 20 Oct · H v Wigan 2–1 (xG 1.99–0.54)
- 15 Oct · A v Mansfield Town 1–1 (xG 0.83–3.42)
- 10 Oct · A v Notts County 2–1 (xG 1.35–0.56)
- 6 Oct · A v Exeter City 2–2
Stockport County
DWWWW
- 24 Oct · A v Notts County 1–1 (xG 2.56–0.38)
- 20 Oct · A v Doncaster 2–0 (xG 3.35–0.22)
- 17 Oct · H v Bromley 1–0 (xG 1.57–0.34)
- 10 Oct · H v Barnsley 3–1 (xG 1.93–1.43)
- 6 Oct · A v Shrewsbury 2–0
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.