Milton Keynes Dons
2–1
Luton
Sat 17 Oct, 11:30
Stadium MK
Our pick: Home win
Upset Watch WonHome win
31%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
44%
Bookmakers 47%
Us 31%Bookmakers 28%
Edge +3.2 pts
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Upset Watch: underdog priced 3.2% too long by the market.
- Home win: 31% against a market price of 28% (+3.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsMilton Keynes Dons
LWWDD
- 10 Oct · H v Reading 1–5 (xG 0.44–3.64)
- 6 Oct · H v Brentford U21 7–1
- 22 Sep · H v Crawley Town 4–1
- 17 Sep · A v AFC Wimbledon 0–0 (xG 1.02–1.28)
- 12 Sep · H v Peterborough 1–1 (xG 1.15–1.29)
Luton
WDWLL
- 10 Oct · A v Wycombe 4–1 (xG 2.89–2.20)
- 3 Oct · A v Colchester 1–1
- 22 Sep · H v Ipswich Town U21 6–0
- 19 Sep · H v Bradford 0–1 (xG 0.83–0.29)
- 10 Sep · A v Stevenage 1–2 (xG 0.83–1.28)
Head-to-head
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