AFC Wimbledon
0–3
Mansfield Town
Tue 20 Oct, 18:45
Plough Lane
Our pick: Home win
Value LostHome win
31%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
41%
Bookmakers 45%
Us 31%Bookmakers 28%
Edge +3.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.8%
Value: our 31% beats the market's 28% (1.2× our uncertainty).
- Home win: 31% against a market price of 28% (+3.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAFC Wimbledon
LLDDD
- 17 Oct · A v Sheffield Wednesday 0–5 (xG 0.39–2.64)
- 10 Oct · A v Plymouth 1–2 (xG 0.98–1.72)
- 6 Oct · H v Barnet 0–0
- 26 Sep · A v Cambridge United 1–1
- 17 Sep · H v Milton Keynes Dons 0–0 (xG 1.28–1.02)
Mansfield Town
DWLDD
- 15 Oct · H v Oxford United 1–1 (xG 3.42–0.83)
- 10 Oct · H v Bromley 2–1 (xG 2.42–0.95)
- 6 Oct · A v Port Vale 0–2
- 19 Sep · A v Burton Albion 2–2 (xG 1.58–0.83)
- 12 Sep · H v Huddersfield 0–0 (xG 0.88–1.49)
Head-to-head
AFC Wimbledon 0 · draws 2 · Mansfield Town 0, 2.0 goals a game
- 28 Feb 2026 · Mansfield Town 2–2 AFC Wimbledon (League One)
- 13 Dec 2025 · AFC Wimbledon 0–0 Mansfield Town (League One)