Luton
2–1
Barnsley
Tue 20 Oct, 18:45
Kenilworth Road
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
65%
Bookmakers 66%
Draw
19%
Bookmakers 19%
Away win
16%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 65%Bookmakers 66%
Edge -0.3 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-0.3%).
- Home win: 65% against a market price of 66% (-0.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLuton
LWDWL
- 17 Oct · A v Milton Keynes Dons 1–2 (xG 1.60–1.53)
- 10 Oct · A v Wycombe 4–1 (xG 2.89–2.20)
- 3 Oct · A v Colchester 1–1
- 22 Sep · H v Ipswich Town U21 6–0
- 19 Sep · H v Bradford 0–1 (xG 0.83–0.29)
Barnsley
LLLLD
- 17 Oct · H v Cambridge United 1–2 (xG 2.28–2.21)
- 10 Oct · A v Stockport County 1–3 (xG 1.43–1.93)
- 6 Oct · A v Fleetwood Town 1–4
- 22 Sep · H v Leeds United U21 3–4
- 19 Sep · H v Leicester 1–1 (xG 1.18–2.40)
Head-to-head
Luton 1 · draws 0 · Barnsley 1, 4.0 goals a game
- 25 Apr 2026 · Luton 2–1 Barnsley (League One)
- 22 Nov 2025 · Barnsley 5–0 Luton (League One)