Stevenage
18:45
Plymouth
Tue 20 Oct, 18:45
Broadhall Way
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
38%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 36%
Us 38%Bookmakers 36%
Edge +1.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+1.6%).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 36% (+1.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsStevenage
LWWWL
- 17 Oct · A v Bradford 0–2 (xG 1.01–1.84)
- 10 Oct · H v Wigan 1–0 (xG 2.08–0.19)
- 6 Oct · H v Leicester 2–1
- 22 Sep · A v Walsall 6–1
- 19 Sep · A v Leyton Orient 0–1 (xG 1.54–0.43)
Plymouth
LWDWL
- 17 Oct · H v Huddersfield 0–2 (xG 0.85–3.04)
- 10 Oct · H v AFC Wimbledon 2–1 (xG 1.72–0.98)
- 6 Oct · A v Newport County 2–2
- 3 Oct · A v Leyton Orient 2–0 (xG 1.76–0.99)
- 26 Sep · H v Burton Albion 0–1
Head-to-head
Stevenage 0 · draws 1 · Plymouth 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 17 Mar 2026 · Plymouth 1–0 Stevenage (League One)
- 1 Jan 2026 · Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth (League One)