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AFC Wimbledon
1–1
Wycombe
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Plough Lane

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
51%
Bookmakers 52%
Us 51%Bookmakers 52% Edge -0.7 pts Uncertainty ±2.3%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 51% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Away win: 51% against a market price of 52% (-0.7%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

AFC Wimbledon

LLLDD
  • 20 Oct · H v Mansfield Town 0–3 (xG 0.48–1.99)
  • 17 Oct · A v Sheffield Wednesday 0–5 (xG 0.39–2.64)
  • 10 Oct · A v Plymouth 1–2 (xG 0.98–1.72)
  • 6 Oct · H v Barnet 0–0
  • 26 Sep · A v Cambridge United 1–1

Wycombe

DWLWD
  • 20 Oct · A v Cambridge United 2–2 (xG 1.28–0.82)
  • 17 Oct · H v Notts County 2–0 (xG 1.33–0.47)
  • 10 Oct · H v Luton 1–4 (xG 2.20–2.89)
  • 6 Oct · H v Bristol Rovers 4–1
  • 26 Sep · H v Reading 2–2 (xG 1.96–1.25)

Head-to-head

AFC Wimbledon 2 · draws 0 · Wycombe 1, 2.0 goals a game

  • 4 Jan 2026 · Wycombe 2–0 AFC Wimbledon (League One)
  • 27 Sep 2025 · AFC Wimbledon 2–1 Wycombe (League One)
  • 20 Aug 2024 · AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Wycombe (EFL Trophy)