Burton Albion
2–1
Leyton Orient
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00
Pirelli Stadium
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
40%
Bookmakers 36%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
33%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 40%Bookmakers 36%
Edge +3.4 pts
Uncertainty ±3.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.4% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 36% (+3.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBurton Albion
DDLDL
- 20 Oct · H v Bradford 0–0 (xG 1.38–1.45)
- 17 Oct · A v Peterborough 2–2 (xG 0.91–2.58)
- 10 Oct · A v Doncaster 0–1 (xG 0.94–0.62)
- 6 Oct · A v Grimsby 0–0
- 3 Oct · H v Huddersfield 1–3 (xG 0.11–2.92)
Leyton Orient
LWDLW
- 21 Oct · A v Reading 0–1 (xG 2.85–1.49)
- 17 Oct · H v Blackpool 2–0 (xG 2.28–0.87)
- 10 Oct · A v Bradford 0–0 (xG 0.34–1.25)
- 3 Oct · H v Plymouth 0–2 (xG 0.99–1.76)
- 19 Sep · H v Stevenage 1–0 (xG 0.43–1.54)
Head-to-head
Burton Albion 1 · draws 2 · Leyton Orient 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 2 May 2026 · Leyton Orient 2–2 Burton Albion (League One)
- 29 Nov 2025 · Burton Albion 0–4 Leyton Orient (League One)
- 1 Apr 2025 · Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient (League One)
- 14 Dec 2024 · Leyton Orient 0–0 Burton Albion (League One)