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Cambridge United
2–3
Plymouth
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Abbey Stadium

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
40%
Bookmakers 39%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 35%
Us 40%Bookmakers 39% Edge +0.9 pts Uncertainty ±4.6%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.9% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 40% against a market price of 39% (+0.9%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Cambridge United

DWWWD
  • 20 Oct · H v Wycombe 2–2 (xG 0.82–1.28)
  • 17 Oct · A v Barnsley 2–1 (xG 2.21–2.28)
  • 10 Oct · H v Blackpool 1–0 (xG 1.83–0.69)
  • 6 Oct · H v Northampton 2–1
  • 26 Sep · H v AFC Wimbledon 1–1

Plymouth

LLWDW
  • 20 Oct · A v Stevenage 0–3 (xG 0.97–1.32)
  • 17 Oct · H v Huddersfield 0–2 (xG 0.85–3.04)
  • 10 Oct · H v AFC Wimbledon 2–1 (xG 1.72–0.98)
  • 6 Oct · A v Newport County 2–2
  • 3 Oct · A v Leyton Orient 2–0 (xG 1.76–0.99)

Head-to-head

No previous meeting stored.