Las Palmas
0–3
Castellón
Sat 17 Oct, 19:00
Estadio de Gran Canaria
German Cid Camacho, Spain
Our pick: Home win
Upset Watch LostHome win
32%
Bookmakers 27%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
43%
Bookmakers 48%
Us 32%Bookmakers 27%
Edge +4.8 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Upset Watch: underdog priced 4.8% too long by the market.
- Home win: 32% against a market price of 27% (+4.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLas Palmas
LDLLW
- 11 Oct · A v Mallorca 1–3 (xG 0.59–0.71)
- 4 Oct · H v Valladolid 2–2
- 27 Sep · A v Eibar 2–3
- 20 Sep · H v Burgos 1–2 (xG 0.53–1.07)
- 12 Sep · A v Cadiz 1–0 (xG 2.87–0.49)
Castellón
LDWWW
- 11 Oct · A v FC Andorra 0–1 (xG 0.60–3.36)
- 4 Oct · H v AD Ceuta FC 1–1 (xG 0.83–2.47)
- 28 Sep · A v Leganes 2–0
- 19 Sep · H v Tenerife 5–0 (xG 2.35–1.35)
- 12 Sep · A v Girona 2–1 (xG 3.71–1.14)
Head-to-head
Las Palmas 0 · draws 1 · Castellón 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 21 Feb 2026 · Las Palmas 1–1 Castellón (Segunda División)
- 30 Nov 2025 · Castellón 1–0 Las Palmas (Segunda División)