Albacete
2–0
Eldense
Sun 25 Oct, 15:15
Carlos Belmonte
Daniel Palencia Caballero
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
39%
Bookmakers 38%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 39%Bookmakers 38%
Edge +0.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.6% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 39% against a market price of 38% (+0.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAlbacete
LLLLL
- 17 Oct · A v Sporting Gijon 1–2 (xG 0.45–0.81)
- 12 Oct · A v Valladolid 0–5 (xG 0.73–2.96)
- 3 Oct · H v Eibar 1–3 (xG 2.00–1.07)
- 25 Sep · A v Girona 0–2
- 18 Sep · H v Cordoba 1–2
Eldense
WWWLL
- 18 Oct · A v Valladolid 3–2 (xG 2.77–1.52)
- 10 Oct · H v Cordoba 2–1 (xG 2.85–1.35)
- 2 Oct · H v Oviedo 4–1 (xG 2.87–1.88)
- 27 Sep · A v Burgos 0–1 (xG 0.53–0.80)
- 19 Sep · H v Eibar 1–2 (xG 1.69–0.87)
Head-to-head
Albacete 0 · draws 0 · Eldense 2, 1.5 goals a game
- 23 Feb 2025 · Albacete 0–1 Eldense (Segunda División)
- 16 Nov 2024 · Eldense 2–0 Albacete (Segunda División)