FC Andorra
19:30
Burgos
Mon 26 Oct, 19:30
Estadi de la FAF
Miranda Bolano Daniel
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsUs 75%Books 75% Best odds 1.32 (Betano)
Match result: no bet
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 48%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
26%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 46%Bookmakers 48%
Edge -2.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 46% against a market price of 48% (-2.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFC Andorra
LWDWL
- 18 Oct · A v Girona 0–2 (xG 0.37–1.32)
- 11 Oct · H v Castellón 1–0 (xG 3.36–0.60)
- 4 Oct · A v Sabadell 0–0
- 26 Sep · A v Granada CF 3–2 (xG 0.90–2.09)
- 19 Sep · H v Sporting Gijon 1–3 (xG 1.46–0.52)
Burgos
WLLWW
- 18 Oct · H v Sabadell 1–0 (xG 2.22–0.51)
- 12 Oct · H v Granada CF 0–1 (xG 1.14–2.32)
- 3 Oct · A v Almeria 1–2 (xG 1.14–2.19)
- 27 Sep · H v Eldense 1–0 (xG 0.80–0.53)
- 20 Sep · A v Las Palmas 2–1 (xG 1.07–0.53)
Head-to-head
FC Andorra 1 · draws 0 · Burgos 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 31 May 2026 · Burgos 1–0 FC Andorra (Segunda División)
- 31 Aug 2025 · FC Andorra 2–1 Burgos (Segunda División)