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Cadiz
15:15
AD Ceuta FC
Sun 25 Oct, 15:15 JP Financial Estadio

Bets on this match

Best expected value first, at the best price we found
  • Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBanker
    Us 74%Books 72% Edge +2.1 pts Best odds 1.36 (1xBet) Expected return +0.4%

Match result: no bet

Home win
46%
Bookmakers 50%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 46%Bookmakers 50% Edge -4.3 pts Uncertainty ±2.7%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.

  • Home win: 46% against a market price of 50% (-4.3%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Cadiz

LLWDL
  • 18 Oct · A v Granada CF 0–2 (xG 0.56–0.89)
  • 11 Oct · H v Sporting Gijon 0–1
  • 3 Oct · H v Leganes 4–0 (xG 3.00–1.20)
  • 26 Sep · A v Tenerife 1–1 (xG 1.24–1.11)
  • 19 Sep · H v Girona 1–2 (xG 1.15–1.17)

AD Ceuta FC

LLDWD
  • 18 Oct · H v Oviedo 1–2 (xG 2.98–2.29)
  • 10 Oct · H v Sabadell 1–2 (xG 1.71–0.91)
  • 4 Oct · A v Castellón 1–1 (xG 2.47–0.83)
  • 26 Sep · H v Real Sociedad II 3–1
  • 20 Sep · H v Valladolid 1–1

Head-to-head

Cadiz 0 · draws 1 · AD Ceuta FC 1, 1.5 goals a game

  • 28 Mar 2026 · AD Ceuta FC 2–1 Cadiz (Segunda División)
  • 28 Sep 2025 · Cadiz 0–0 AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División)