Cadiz
3–1
AD Ceuta FC
Sun 25 Oct, 15:15
Nuevo Mirandilla
Andres Fuentes Molina
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
44%
Bookmakers 47%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 44%Bookmakers 47%
Edge -2.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 47% (-2.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCadiz
LLWDL
- 18 Oct · A v Granada CF 0–2 (xG 0.56–0.89)
- 11 Oct · H v Sporting Gijon 0–1
- 3 Oct · H v Leganes 4–0 (xG 3.00–1.20)
- 26 Sep · A v Tenerife 1–1 (xG 1.24–1.11)
- 19 Sep · H v Girona 1–2 (xG 1.15–1.17)
AD Ceuta FC
LLDWD
- 18 Oct · H v Oviedo 1–2 (xG 2.98–2.29)
- 10 Oct · H v Sabadell 1–2 (xG 1.71–0.91)
- 4 Oct · A v Castellón 1–1 (xG 2.47–0.83)
- 26 Sep · H v Real Sociedad II 3–1
- 20 Sep · H v Valladolid 1–1
Head-to-head
Cadiz 0 · draws 1 · AD Ceuta FC 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 28 Mar 2026 · AD Ceuta FC 2–1 Cadiz (Segunda División)
- 28 Sep 2025 · Cadiz 0–0 AD Ceuta FC (Segunda División)