Granada CF
18:30
Valladolid
Fri 23 Oct, 18:30
Nuevo Los Cármenes
Marta Huerta de Aza
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsBankerUs 74%Books 72% Edge +2.2 pts Best odds 1.35 (Pinnacle) Expected return +0.1%
Match result: no bet
Home win
46%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 29%
Us 46%Bookmakers 43%
Edge +3.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.6%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +3.4% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 46% against a market price of 43% (+3.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsGranada CF
WWWLL
- 18 Oct · H v Cadiz 2–0 (xG 0.89–0.56)
- 12 Oct · A v Burgos 1–0 (xG 2.32–1.14)
- 4 Oct · A v Real Sociedad II 3–2 (xG 3.60–1.75)
- 26 Sep · H v FC Andorra 2–3 (xG 2.09–0.90)
- 20 Sep · A v Leganes 2–3
Valladolid
LWDWD
- 18 Oct · H v Eldense 2–3 (xG 1.52–2.77)
- 12 Oct · H v Albacete 5–0 (xG 2.96–0.73)
- 4 Oct · A v Las Palmas 2–2
- 27 Sep · H v Cordoba 3–1
- 20 Sep · A v AD Ceuta FC 1–1
Head-to-head
Granada CF 1 · draws 0 · Valladolid 1, 4.5 goals a game
- 14 Feb 2026 · Granada CF 5–1 Valladolid (Segunda División)
- 3 Nov 2025 · Valladolid 2–1 Granada CF (Segunda División)