Las Palmas
16:30
Real Sociedad II
Sat 24 Oct, 16:30
Gran Canaria
Morales Moreno Pablo
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
50%
Bookmakers 48%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 50%Bookmakers 48%
Edge +2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 48% (+2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLas Palmas
LLDLL
- 17 Oct · H v Castellón 0–3 (xG 0.31–2.35)
- 11 Oct · A v Mallorca 1–3 (xG 0.59–0.71)
- 4 Oct · H v Valladolid 2–2
- 27 Sep · A v Eibar 2–3
- 20 Sep · H v Burgos 1–2 (xG 0.53–1.07)
Real Sociedad II
LLLLL
- 17 Oct · H v Almeria 2–4 (xG 1.63–1.91)
- 10 Oct · A v Celta de Vigo II 1–4 (xG 2.11–2.45)
- 4 Oct · H v Granada CF 2–3 (xG 1.75–3.60)
- 26 Sep · A v AD Ceuta FC 1–3
- 19 Sep · H v Mallorca 0–1 (xG 0.66–0.78)
Head-to-head
Las Palmas 1 · draws 1 · Real Sociedad II 0, 2.5 goals a game
- 30 Jan 2026 · Real Sociedad II 1–1 Las Palmas (Segunda División)
- 12 Sep 2025 · Las Palmas 2–1 Real Sociedad II (Segunda División)