Las Palmas
1–0
Real Sociedad II
Sat 24 Oct, 16:30
Gran Canaria
Morales Moreno Pablo
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
50%
Bookmakers 48%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Us 50%Bookmakers 48%
Edge +2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.0% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 50% against a market price of 48% (+2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLas Palmas
LLDLL
- 17 Oct · H v Castellón 0–3 (xG 0.31–2.35)
- 11 Oct · A v Mallorca 1–3 (xG 0.59–0.71)
- 4 Oct · H v Valladolid 2–2
- 27 Sep · A v Eibar 2–3
- 20 Sep · H v Burgos 1–2 (xG 0.53–1.07)
Real Sociedad II
LLLLL
- 17 Oct · H v Almeria 2–4 (xG 1.63–1.91)
- 10 Oct · A v Celta de Vigo II 1–4 (xG 2.11–2.45)
- 4 Oct · H v Granada CF 2–3 (xG 1.75–3.60)
- 26 Sep · A v AD Ceuta FC 1–3
- 19 Sep · H v Mallorca 0–1 (xG 0.66–0.78)
Head-to-head
Las Palmas 1 · draws 1 · Real Sociedad II 0, 2.5 goals a game
- 30 Jan 2026 · Real Sociedad II 1–1 Las Palmas (Segunda División)
- 12 Sep 2025 · Las Palmas 2–1 Real Sociedad II (Segunda División)