Levante
3–1
Athletic Club
Wed 21 Oct, 18:00
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Our pick: Home win
Upset Watch WonHome win
34%
Bookmakers 28%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
38%
Bookmakers 44%
Us 34%Bookmakers 28%
Edge +6.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Upset Watch: underdog priced 6.5% too long by the market (2.9× our uncertainty).
- Home win: 34% against a market price of 28% (+6.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsLevante
DDLLD
- 16 Oct · A v Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 (xG 0.85–1.15)
- 12 Oct · H v Sevilla 3–3 (xG 2.00–2.55)
- 20 Sep · A v Villarreal 1–3 (xG 0.45–4.27)
- 13 Sep · H v Barcelona 2–4 (xG 2.42–2.58)
- 6 Sep · A v Malaga 0–0 (xG 0.81–1.46)
Athletic Club
DDDWW
- 17 Oct · A v Valencia 0–0 (xG 0.65–1.49)
- 19 Sep · H v Alaves 0–0 (xG 1.62–0.05)
- 12 Sep · H v Elche 1–1 (xG 2.39–0.84)
- 5 Sep · H v Atletico Madrid 3–0 (xG 1.41–1.02)
- 30 Aug · A v Celta Vigo 2–0 (xG 2.78–0.75)
Head-to-head
Levante 0 · draws 0 · Athletic Club 2, 4.0 goals a game
- 8 Feb 2026 · Athletic Club 4–2 Levante (La Liga)
- 29 Nov 2025 · Levante 0–2 Athletic Club (La Liga)