Celta Vigo
2–1
Alaves
Sun 18 Oct, 14:15
Municipal de Balaídos
José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
44%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Us 44%Bookmakers 42%
Edge +2.2 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (+2.2%).
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 42% (+2.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 5 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsCelta Vigo
LDWLD
- 15 Oct · H v Juventus 1–2 (xG 1.10–1.75)
- 11 Oct · A v Elche 0–0 (xG 0.47–0.78)
- 19 Sep · H v Racing Santander 5–0 (xG 2.14–0.75)
- 16 Sep · A v Omonia Nicosia 0–1 (xG 1.17–0.32)
- 13 Sep · H v Malaga 1–1 (xG 1.90–0.43)
Alaves
LDLLW
- 10 Oct · H v Atletico Madrid 1–2 (xG 1.30–2.05)
- 19 Sep · A v Athletic Club 0–0 (xG 0.05–1.62)
- 15 Sep · H v Valencia 0–1 (xG 1.05–0.65)
- 12 Sep · A v Racing Santander 1–2 (xG 1.98–2.01)
- 6 Sep · H v Osasuna 5–2 (xG 1.20–1.64)
Head-to-head
Celta Vigo 2 · draws 1 · Alaves 1, 3.3 goals a game
- 22 Mar 2026 · Celta Vigo 3–4 Alaves (La Liga)
- 22 Nov 2025 · Alaves 0–1 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
- 27 Jan 2025 · Alaves 1–1 Celta Vigo (La Liga)
- 16 Aug 2024 · Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves (La Liga)