Espanyol
0–1
Atletico Madrid
Sat 17 Oct, 12:00
RCDE Stadium
Alejandro Hernandez, Spain
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
23%
Bookmakers 20%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 24%
Away win
53%
Bookmakers 57%
Us 53%Bookmakers 57%
Edge -3.5 pts
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-3.5%).
- Away win: 53% against a market price of 57% (-3.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsEspanyol
DLLWD
- 9 Oct · A v Malaga 1–1 (xG 1.08–0.69)
- 18 Sep · H v Elche 1–3 (xG 1.05–1.61)
- 15 Sep · A v Rayo Vallecano 1–2 (xG 1.49–1.52)
- 12 Sep · A v Osasuna 2–0 (xG 1.43–1.05)
- 6 Sep · H v Sevilla 1–1 (xG 1.23–0.53)
Atletico Madrid
WWWWW
- 13 Oct · H v Manchester United 2–0 (xG 1.47–0.98)
- 10 Oct · A v Alaves 2–1 (xG 2.05–1.30)
- 20 Sep · H v Real Madrid 2–1 (xG 2.35–0.30)
- 16 Sep · H v Osasuna 4–0 (xG 3.99–0.48)
- 13 Sep · A v Real Sociedad 3–0 (xG 2.05–0.27)
Head-to-head
Espanyol 1 · draws 2 · Atletico Madrid 1, 2.8 goals a game
- 21 Feb 2026 · Atletico Madrid 4–2 Espanyol (La Liga)
- 17 Aug 2025 · Espanyol 2–1 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
- 29 Mar 2025 · Espanyol 1–1 Atletico Madrid (La Liga)
- 28 Aug 2024 · Atletico Madrid 0–0 Espanyol (La Liga)