Real Madrid
4–1
Sevilla
Sun 18 Oct, 19:00
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium
Mateo Busquets Ferrer
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
77%
Bookmakers 79%
Draw
15%
Bookmakers 14%
Away win
9%
Bookmakers 8%
Us 77%Bookmakers 79%
Edge -2.0 pts
Uncertainty ±1.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-2.0%).
- Home win: 77% against a market price of 79% (-2.0%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsReal Madrid
WWLWW
- 14 Oct · A v AS Roma 4–3 (xG 1.49–1.49)
- 10 Oct · H v Villarreal 1–0 (xG 1.43–0.59)
- 20 Sep · A v Atletico Madrid 1–2 (xG 0.30–2.35)
- 15 Sep · A v Elche 3–2 (xG 3.61–0.78)
- 12 Sep · H v Rayo Vallecano 4–1 (xG 2.62–1.21)
Sevilla
DLWWD
- 12 Oct · A v Levante 3–3 (xG 2.55–2.00)
- 19 Sep · H v Barcelona 1–3 (xG 0.40–3.47)
- 16 Sep · A v Deportivo La Coruna 1–0 (xG 0.73–0.14)
- 11 Sep · H v Valencia 1–0 (xG 0.93–0.10)
- 6 Sep · A v Espanyol 1–1 (xG 0.53–1.23)
Head-to-head
Real Madrid 4 · draws 0 · Sevilla 0, 2.8 goals a game
- 17 May 2026 · Sevilla 0–1 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- 20 Dec 2025 · Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla (La Liga)
- 18 May 2025 · Sevilla 0–2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- 22 Dec 2024 · Real Madrid 4–2 Sevilla (La Liga)