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Valencia
0–0
Athletic Club
Sat 17 Oct, 19:00 Estadio de Mestalla Adrian Cordero Vega, Spain

Our pick: Home win

Upset Watch Lost
Home win
32%
Bookmakers 29%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 29%
Away win
40%
Bookmakers 43%
Us 32%Bookmakers 29% Edge +3.4 pts Uncertainty ±2.2%

Upset Watch: underdog priced 3.4% too long by the market.

  • Home win: 32% against a market price of 29% (+3.4%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Valencia

DLWLL
  • 11 Oct · A v Racing Santander 2–2 (xG 1.70–1.31)
  • 20 Sep · H v Real Sociedad 2–3 (xG 1.55–2.65)
  • 15 Sep · A v Alaves 1–0 (xG 0.65–1.05)
  • 11 Sep · A v Sevilla 0–1 (xG 0.10–0.93)
  • 6 Sep · H v Barcelona 0–5 (xG 0.66–4.08)

Athletic Club

DDWWL
  • 19 Sep · H v Alaves 0–0 (xG 1.62–0.05)
  • 12 Sep · H v Elche 1–1 (xG 2.39–0.84)
  • 5 Sep · H v Atletico Madrid 3–0 (xG 1.41–1.02)
  • 30 Aug · A v Celta Vigo 2–0 (xG 2.78–0.75)
  • 27 Aug · A v Barcelona 0–2 (xG 0.25–4.23)

Head-to-head

Valencia 2 · draws 0 · Athletic Club 2, 1.3 goals a game

  • 10 May 2026 · Athletic Club 0–1 Valencia (La Liga)
  • 20 Sep 2025 · Valencia 2–0 Athletic Club (La Liga)
  • 18 May 2025 · Valencia 0–1 Athletic Club (La Liga)
  • 28 Aug 2024 · Athletic Club 1–0 Valencia (La Liga)