Alaves
1–1
Malaga
Fri 23 Oct, 19:00
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Carlos Muniz Munoz, Spain
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
55%
Bookmakers 58%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
19%
Bookmakers 16%
Us 55%Bookmakers 58%
Edge -3.2 pts
Uncertainty ±3.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 55% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 55% against a market price of 58% (-3.2%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAlaves
LLDLL
- 18 Oct · A v Celta Vigo 1–2 (xG 1.05–0.91)
- 10 Oct · H v Atletico Madrid 1–2 (xG 1.30–2.05)
- 19 Sep · A v Athletic Club 0–0 (xG 0.05–1.62)
- 15 Sep · H v Valencia 0–1 (xG 1.05–0.65)
- 12 Sep · A v Racing Santander 1–2 (xG 1.98–2.01)
Malaga
LDLLD
- 18 Oct · H v Real Sociedad 2–5 (xG 1.10–2.43)
- 9 Oct · H v Espanyol 1–1 (xG 0.69–1.08)
- 20 Sep · A v Getafe 0–1 (xG 0.52–0.95)
- 17 Sep · H v Villarreal 1–3 (xG 0.63–3.33)
- 13 Sep · A v Celta Vigo 1–1 (xG 0.43–1.90)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.