Barcelona
1–2
Real Madrid
Sun 25 Oct, 20:00
Spotify Camp Nou
Juan Martinez Munuera
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
60%
Bookmakers 60%
Draw
17%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Us 60%Bookmakers 60%
Edge -0.1 pts
Uncertainty ±1.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 60% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 60% against a market price of 60% (-0.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsBarcelona
LWWWW
- 20 Oct · A v Paris Saint Germain 2–4 (xG 2.25–3.74)
- 17 Oct · A v Real Betis 5–2 (xG 3.05–1.02)
- 13 Oct · A v Galatasaray 4–1 (xG 2.86–0.42)
- 10 Oct · H v Getafe 3–0 (xG 1.93–0.14)
- 19 Sep · A v Sevilla 3–1 (xG 3.47–0.40)
Real Madrid
WWWWL
- 21 Oct · H v RB Leipzig 4–1 (xG 3.13–1.51)
- 18 Oct · H v Sevilla 4–1 (xG 2.32–0.81)
- 14 Oct · A v AS Roma 4–3 (xG 1.49–1.49)
- 10 Oct · H v Villarreal 1–0 (xG 1.43–0.59)
- 20 Sep · A v Atletico Madrid 1–2 (xG 0.30–2.35)
Head-to-head
Barcelona 3 · draws 0 · Real Madrid 1, 4.0 goals a game
- 10 May 2026 · Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- 26 Oct 2025 · Real Madrid 2–1 Barcelona (La Liga)
- 11 May 2025 · Barcelona 4–3 Real Madrid (La Liga)
- 26 Oct 2024 · Real Madrid 0–4 Barcelona (La Liga)