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Rayo Vallecano
0–3
Elche
Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Estadio de Vallecas Miguel Sesma Espinosa, Spain

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
54%
Bookmakers 54%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 21%
Us 54%Bookmakers 54% Edge +0.0 pts Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 54% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.0% alone is not enough).

  • Home win: 54% against a market price of 54% (+0.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Rayo Vallecano

DDWLW
  • 19 Oct · A v Getafe 1–1 (xG 2.15–0.67)
  • 19 Sep · A v Osasuna 1–1 (xG 1.01–0.53)
  • 15 Sep · H v Espanyol 2–1 (xG 1.52–1.49)
  • 12 Sep · A v Real Madrid 1–4 (xG 1.21–2.62)
  • 5 Sep · H v Racing Santander 3–2 (xG 1.61–0.48)

Elche

DDWLD
  • 17 Oct · A v Villarreal 0–0 (xG 0.31–2.23)
  • 11 Oct · H v Celta Vigo 0–0 (xG 0.78–0.47)
  • 18 Sep · A v Espanyol 3–1 (xG 1.61–1.05)
  • 15 Sep · H v Real Madrid 2–3 (xG 0.78–3.61)
  • 12 Sep · A v Athletic Club 1–1 (xG 0.84–2.39)

Head-to-head

Rayo Vallecano 1 · draws 0 · Elche 1, 2.5 goals a game

  • 3 Apr 2026 · Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Elche (La Liga)
  • 21 Dec 2025 · Elche 4–0 Rayo Vallecano (La Liga)