Union Berlin
0–0
Borussia Dortmund
Sat 17 Oct, 13:30
An der Alten Försterei
Daniel Schlager, Germany
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
19%
Bookmakers 18%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 21%
Away win
58%
Bookmakers 61%
Us 58%Bookmakers 61%
Edge -2.5 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no edge over the market price (-2.5%).
- Away win: 58% against a market price of 61% (-2.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsUnion Berlin
WLLLD
- 10 Oct · H v SV Elversberg 1–0 (xG 1.13–0.24)
- 18 Sep · A v Bayern München 0–7 (xG 0.34–3.71)
- 11 Sep · H v FC Schalke 04 1–3 (xG 1.95–2.52)
- 5 Sep · A v Bayer Leverkusen 0–4 (xG 0.39–3.11)
- 29 Aug · H v Eintracht Frankfurt 3–3 (xG 1.84–1.47)
Borussia Dortmund
LDWWW
- 14 Oct · A v Bodo/Glimt 0–1 (xG 0.85–1.20)
- 9 Oct · H v Werder Bremen 2–2 (xG 2.42–1.13)
- 19 Sep · A v VfB Stuttgart 1–0 (xG 1.34–0.87)
- 12 Sep · H v SC Paderborn 07 3–0 (xG 1.76–0.49)
- 8 Sep · H v Villarreal 3–2 (xG 2.83–1.34)
Head-to-head
Union Berlin 1 · draws 0 · Borussia Dortmund 3, 3.8 goals a game
- 24 Jan 2026 · Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
- 31 Aug 2025 · Borussia Dortmund 3–0 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
- 22 Feb 2025 · Borussia Dortmund 6–0 Union Berlin (Bundesliga)
- 5 Oct 2024 · Union Berlin 2–1 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)