1899 Hoffenheim
3–0
Bayer Leverkusen
Sun 25 Oct, 14:30
Prezero Arena
Daniel Siebert
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
30%
Bookmakers 33%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
46%
Bookmakers 44%
Us 46%Bookmakers 44%
Edge +2.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 46% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.1% alone is not enough).
- Away win: 46% against a market price of 44% (+2.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitions1899 Hoffenheim
WWLLL
- 22 Oct · H v Lyon 3–0 (xG 2.13–0.89)
- 18 Oct · A v Borussia Mönchengladbach 2–1 (xG 1.84–0.42)
- 15 Oct · H v Beşiktaş 2–3 (xG 1.20–3.39)
- 10 Oct · H v Hamburger SV 2–3 (xG 0.93–1.28)
- 20 Sep · A v SC Paderborn 07 1–3 (xG 1.50–0.68)
Bayer Leverkusen
WWWWW
- 22 Oct · A v OFI 2–0 (xG 3.42–0.28)
- 18 Oct · H v SC Freiburg 2–1 (xG 1.67–1.08)
- 15 Oct · A v Lech Poznan 4–0 (xG 5.22–0.57)
- 10 Oct · A v FSV Mainz 05 4–3 (xG 1.69–2.87)
- 20 Sep · H v RB Leipzig 2–0 (xG 2.27–0.97)
Head-to-head
1899 Hoffenheim 2 · draws 0 · Bayer Leverkusen 2, 3.3 goals a game
- 17 Jan 2026 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)
- 23 Aug 2025 · Bayer Leverkusen 1–2 1899 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
- 2 Feb 2025 · Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
- 14 Sep 2024 · 1899 Hoffenheim 1–4 Bayer Leverkusen (Bundesliga)