FSV Mainz 05
2–3
Werder Bremen
Sat 24 Oct, 13:30
MEWA Arena
Florian Badstubner
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
56%
Bookmakers 55%
Draw
22%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
21%
Bookmakers 22%
Us 56%Bookmakers 55%
Edge +1.1 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 56% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.1% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 56% against a market price of 55% (+1.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFSV Mainz 05
WLWLW
- 17 Oct · A v FC Schalke 04 1–0 (xG 1.53–0.33)
- 10 Oct · H v Bayer Leverkusen 3–4 (xG 2.87–1.69)
- 19 Sep · A v Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–3 (xG 2.82–3.24)
- 12 Sep · H v Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 (xG 2.12–2.04)
- 6 Sep · A v Hamburger SV 5–0 (xG 2.77–0.19)
Werder Bremen
DDWDW
- 17 Oct · H v SC Paderborn 07 2–2 (xG 2.87–1.01)
- 9 Oct · A v Borussia Dortmund 2–2 (xG 1.13–2.42)
- 19 Sep · H v FC Augsburg 3–2 (xG 2.78–1.12)
- 12 Sep · A v 1. FC Köln 1–1 (xG 1.12–1.65)
- 5 Sep · H v RB Leipzig 3–1 (xG 0.95–1.50)
Head-to-head
FSV Mainz 05 1 · draws 1 · Werder Bremen 2, 2.0 goals a game
- 15 Mar 2026 · Werder Bremen 0–2 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
- 1 Nov 2025 · FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)
- 31 Jan 2025 · Werder Bremen 1–0 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
- 15 Sep 2024 · FSV Mainz 05 1–2 Werder Bremen (Bundesliga)