SC Paderborn 07
1–0
Hamburger SV
Sat 24 Oct, 13:30
Home Deluxe Arena
Martin Petersen
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
45%
Bookmakers 43%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 45%Bookmakers 43%
Edge +1.9 pts
Uncertainty ±3.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +1.9% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 43% (+1.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSC Paderborn 07
DLWLL
- 17 Oct · A v Werder Bremen 2–2 (xG 1.01–2.87)
- 10 Oct · H v VfB Stuttgart 0–2 (xG 1.96–2.47)
- 20 Sep · H v 1899 Hoffenheim 3–1 (xG 0.68–1.50)
- 12 Sep · A v Borussia Dortmund 0–3 (xG 0.49–1.76)
- 5 Sep · H v SC Freiburg 0–1 (xG 0.77–1.24)
Hamburger SV
WWWLL
- 17 Oct · H v VfB Stuttgart 1–0 (xG 1.46–1.71)
- 10 Oct · A v 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 (xG 1.28–0.93)
- 19 Sep · H v 1. FC Köln 2–1
- 13 Sep · A v RB Leipzig 0–5 (xG 1.10–2.43)
- 6 Sep · H v FSV Mainz 05 0–5 (xG 0.19–2.77)
Head-to-head
SC Paderborn 07 1 · draws 1 · Hamburger SV 0, 3.0 goals a game
- 2 Mar 2025 · SC Paderborn 07 2–0 Hamburger SV (2. Bundesliga)
- 28 Sep 2024 · Hamburger SV 2–2 SC Paderborn 07 (2. Bundesliga)