Alverca
17:00
Arouca
Sat 24 Oct, 17:00
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
42%
Bookmakers 44%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
31%
Bookmakers 27%
Us 42%Bookmakers 44%
Edge -1.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.3%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 42% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 42% against a market price of 44% (-1.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
Join free to open themAlready a member? Sign in
Form and head-to-head
All competitionsAlverca
LWWWL
- 18 Oct · A v Tondela 0–2
- 12 Oct · A v Famalicao 4–1 (xG 2.92–0.40)
- 19 Sep · H v Rio Ave 1–0 (xG 3.30–0.29)
- 12 Sep · A v Nacional 3–1 (xG 1.16–2.20)
- 5 Sep · H v SC Braga 1–2 (xG 1.08–2.27)
Arouca
WWDLD
- 18 Oct · A v CF Os Belenenses 4–3
- 11 Oct · H v Estrela 1–0 (xG 0.74–1.45)
- 19 Sep · A v Sporting CP 2–2 (xG 2.08–1.28)
- 13 Sep · H v Santa Clara 1–2 (xG 0.72–1.16)
- 7 Sep · A v Estoril 0–0 (xG 1.07–0.86)
Head-to-head
Alverca 1 · draws 0 · Arouca 1, 2.0 goals a game
- 24 Apr 2026 · Alverca 2–1 Arouca (Primeira Liga)
- 14 Dec 2025 · Arouca 1–0 Alverca (Primeira Liga)