Estoril
15:30
Moreirense
Sun 25 Oct, 15:30
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 77%Books 72% Edge +4.2 pts Best odds 1.34 (Pinnacle) Expected return +2.8%
Match result: no bet
Home win
45%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
28%
Bookmakers 27%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 25%
Us 45%Bookmakers 49%
Edge -3.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 49% (-3.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsEstoril
DLLLD
- 18 Oct · A v Salgueiros 1–1
- 10 Oct · A v Academico Viseu 1–2 (xG 1.36–0.73)
- 20 Sep · H v Casa Pia 1–2 (xG 0.95–2.17)
- 14 Sep · A v SC Braga 0–1 (xG 0.75–1.79)
- 7 Sep · H v Arouca 0–0 (xG 0.86–1.07)
Moreirense
LLDWL
- 17 Oct · A v AVS 0–1
- 9 Oct · H v GIL Vicente 0–1 (xG 1.09–1.49)
- 20 Sep · A v Vitória SC 1–1 (xG 0.52–1.07)
- 14 Sep · H v Maritimo 3–1 (xG 2.00–0.76)
- 9 Sep · H v Benfica 0–4 (xG 0.39–2.99)
Head-to-head
Estoril 0 · draws 3 · Moreirense 1, 3.8 goals a game
- 20 Apr 2026 · Moreirense 1–0 Estoril (Primeira Liga)
- 7 Dec 2025 · Estoril 3–3 Moreirense (Primeira Liga)
- 11 May 2025 · Moreirense 2–2 Estoril (Primeira Liga)
- 28 Dec 2024 · Estoril 2–2 Moreirense (Primeira Liga)