Estoril
1–3
Moreirense
Sun 25 Oct, 15:30
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Carlos Macedo
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
47%
Bookmakers 49%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
27%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 47%Bookmakers 49%
Edge -2.3 pts
Uncertainty ±2.2%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 47% against a market price of 49% (-2.3%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsEstoril
DLLLD
- 18 Oct · A v Salgueiros 1–1
- 10 Oct · A v Academico Viseu 1–2 (xG 1.36–0.73)
- 20 Sep · H v Casa Pia 1–2 (xG 0.95–2.17)
- 14 Sep · A v SC Braga 0–1 (xG 0.75–1.79)
- 7 Sep · H v Arouca 0–0 (xG 0.86–1.07)
Moreirense
LLDWL
- 17 Oct · A v AVS 0–1
- 9 Oct · H v GIL Vicente 0–1 (xG 1.09–1.49)
- 20 Sep · A v Vitória SC 1–1 (xG 0.52–1.07)
- 14 Sep · H v Maritimo 3–1 (xG 2.00–0.76)
- 9 Sep · H v Benfica 0–4 (xG 0.39–2.99)
Head-to-head
Estoril 0 · draws 3 · Moreirense 1, 3.8 goals a game
- 20 Apr 2026 · Moreirense 1–0 Estoril (Primeira Liga)
- 7 Dec 2025 · Estoril 3–3 Moreirense (Primeira Liga)
- 11 May 2025 · Moreirense 2–2 Estoril (Primeira Liga)
- 28 Dec 2024 · Estoril 2–2 Moreirense (Primeira Liga)