Nacional
18:00
SC Braga
Sun 25 Oct, 18:00
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 74%Books 72% Edge +2.0 pts Best odds 1.36 (Betano) Expected return +0.5%
Match result: no bet
Home win
17%
Bookmakers 16%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
59%
Bookmakers 61%
Us 59%Bookmakers 61%
Edge -1.7 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 59% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 59% against a market price of 61% (-1.7%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsNacional
LLLLL
- 17 Oct · A v Sanjoanense 0–1
- 11 Oct · A v Rio Ave 2–3 (xG 1.21–1.66)
- 19 Sep · H v Famalicao 0–4 (xG 1.23–1.45)
- 12 Sep · H v Alverca 1–3 (xG 2.20–1.16)
- 5 Sep · A v Sporting CP 0–2 (xG 0.08–3.00)
SC Braga
WLLLD
- 22 Oct · H v Gent 2–0 (xG 2.11–0.46)
- 19 Oct · H v GIL Vicente 1–2 (xG 1.39–1.54)
- 15 Oct · A v FC Copenhagen 0–3 (xG 0.55–1.56)
- 9 Oct · H v Sporting CP 1–3 (xG 1.50–0.95)
- 20 Sep · A v Santa Clara 0–0 (xG 0.50–1.04)
Head-to-head
Nacional 1 · draws 0 · SC Braga 4, 2.8 goals a game
- 28 Feb 2026 · Nacional 1–2 SC Braga (Primeira Liga)
- 23 Nov 2025 · SC Braga 4–2 Nacional (Taça de Portugal)
- 28 Sep 2025 · SC Braga 0–1 Nacional (Primeira Liga)
- 21 Feb 2025 · SC Braga 1–0 Nacional (Primeira Liga)
- 20 Sep 2024 · Nacional 0–3 SC Braga (Primeira Liga)