Rio Ave
0–4
Famalicao
Sun 25 Oct, 18:00
Estádio dos Arcos
Helder Carvalho
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
28%
Bookmakers 25%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
45%
Bookmakers 47%
Us 45%Bookmakers 47%
Edge -1.6 pts
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 45% against a market price of 47% (-1.6%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsRio Ave
WWLDL
- 17 Oct · A v Louletano 1–0
- 11 Oct · H v Nacional 3–2 (xG 1.66–1.21)
- 19 Sep · A v Alverca 0–1 (xG 0.29–3.30)
- 14 Sep · H v Estrela 3–3 (xG 1.23–1.87)
- 6 Sep · A v Santa Clara 0–4 (xG 0.32–1.80)
Famalicao
LLWDD
- 18 Oct · A v Paredes 0–1
- 12 Oct · H v Alverca 1–4 (xG 0.40–2.92)
- 19 Sep · A v Nacional 4–0 (xG 1.45–1.23)
- 13 Sep · H v Sporting CP 1–1 (xG 0.35–2.28)
- 5 Sep · A v Estrela 2–2 (xG 1.80–0.94)
Head-to-head
Rio Ave 0 · draws 3 · Famalicao 1, 0.8 goals a game
- 1 Mar 2026 · Rio Ave 0–0 Famalicao (Primeira Liga)
- 28 Sep 2025 · Famalicao 0–0 Rio Ave (Primeira Liga)
- 10 Mar 2025 · Famalicao 1–0 Rio Ave (Primeira Liga)
- 4 Oct 2024 · Rio Ave 1–1 Famalicao (Primeira Liga)