Santa Clara
18:45
Benfica
Mon 26 Oct, 18:45
Estádio de São Miguel
Claudio Pereira
Bets on this match
Best expected value first, at the best price we found-
Goals O/U 3.5Under 3.5 goalsBankerUs 69%Books 65% Edge +3.9 pts Best odds 1.50 (Pinnacle) Expected return +3.0%
Match result: no bet
Home win
13%
Bookmakers 9%
Draw
21%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
67%
Bookmakers 74%
Us 67%Bookmakers 74%
Edge -6.9 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-8.7% expected per unit).
- Away win: 67% against a market price of 74% (-6.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSanta Clara
LWDWW
- 18 Oct · A v Mafra 2–3
- 10 Oct · A v Casa Pia 1–0 (xG 0.61–0.43)
- 20 Sep · H v SC Braga 0–0 (xG 1.04–0.50)
- 13 Sep · A v Arouca 2–1 (xG 1.16–0.72)
- 6 Sep · H v Rio Ave 4–0 (xG 1.80–0.32)
Benfica
WWWLW
- 22 Oct · A v Omonia Nicosia 4–1 (xG 3.08–0.91)
- 15 Oct · H v Celtic 4–1 (xG 3.22–1.38)
- 11 Oct · H v Vitória SC 2–0 (xG 2.76–0.43)
- 20 Sep · A v FC Porto 1–3 (xG 0.84–1.30)
- 16 Sep · A v AC Milan 2–0 (xG 0.64–0.96)
Head-to-head
Santa Clara 0 · draws 1 · Benfica 3, 2.8 goals a game
- 13 Feb 2026 · Santa Clara 1–2 Benfica (Primeira Liga)
- 12 Sep 2025 · Benfica 1–1 Santa Clara (Primeira Liga)
- 15 Feb 2025 · Santa Clara 0–1 Benfica (Primeira Liga)
- 14 Sep 2024 · Benfica 4–1 Santa Clara (Primeira Liga)