SV Darmstadt 98
16:30
FC St. Pauli
Fri 23 Oct, 16:30
Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
39%
Bookmakers 31%
Draw
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 43%
Us 39%Bookmakers 31%
Edge +7.9 pts
Uncertainty ±5.1%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 39% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +7.9% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 39% against a market price of 31% (+7.9%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsSV Darmstadt 98
LWLWL
- 18 Oct · A v Karlsruher SC 0–4 (xG 0.53–1.24)
- 10 Oct · H v Energie Cottbus 3–1 (xG 1.42–1.49)
- 18 Sep · A v VfL Wolfsburg 1–5 (xG 1.23–1.72)
- 11 Sep · H v Arminia Bielefeld 2–1 (xG 1.86–1.24)
- 5 Sep · A v 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0–3 (xG 1.04–2.63)
FC St. Pauli
DWDWD
- 17 Oct · A v Hannover 96 1–1 (xG 1.00–1.35)
- 11 Oct · H v Karlsruher SC 2–0 (xG 0.80–1.16)
- 20 Sep · A v Energie Cottbus 1–1 (xG 0.77–1.12)
- 12 Sep · H v VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 (xG 0.93–0.54)
- 4 Sep · A v Arminia Bielefeld 2–2 (xG 1.00–1.06)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.