Holstein Kiel
3–0
Dynamo Dresden
Sun 25 Oct, 12:30
Holstein-Stadion
Timo Gerach
Match result: no bet
WonHome win
40%
Bookmakers 41%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
35%
Bookmakers 34%
Us 40%Bookmakers 41%
Edge -1.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 40% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 40% against a market price of 41% (-1.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsHolstein Kiel
DLDLD
- 16 Oct · H v Hertha BSC 0–0 (xG 0.61–1.59)
- 9 Oct · A v Eintracht Braunschweig 0–1 (xG 1.19–1.08)
- 19 Sep · H v VfL Osnabrück 1–1 (xG 2.10–1.82)
- 13 Sep · A v 1. FC Heidenheim 0–1 (xG 0.80–2.33)
- 5 Sep · H v 1. FC Nürnberg 2–2 (xG 0.68–1.84)
Dynamo Dresden
WDLDL
- 18 Oct · H v 1. FC Magdeburg 2–0 (xG 2.13–0.93)
- 10 Oct · A v VfL Osnabrück 1–1 (xG 0.61–1.45)
- 19 Sep · H v Hertha BSC 1–2 (xG 0.83–2.58)
- 12 Sep · A v Eintracht Braunschweig 2–2 (xG 0.97–1.27)
- 5 Sep · H v VfL Bochum 1–2
Head-to-head
Holstein Kiel 1 · draws 0 · Dynamo Dresden 1, 3.0 goals a game
- 17 May 2026 · Dynamo Dresden 2–1 Holstein Kiel (2. Bundesliga)
- 20 Dec 2025 · Holstein Kiel 2–1 Dynamo Dresden (2. Bundesliga)