VfL Osnabrück
12:30
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Sun 25 Oct, 12:30
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
47%
Bookmakers 42%
Draw
24%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
29%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 47%Bookmakers 42%
Edge +4.5 pts
Uncertainty ±4.7%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 47% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +4.5% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 47% against a market price of 42% (+4.5%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsVfL Osnabrück
LDDLW
- 18 Oct · A v Arminia Bielefeld 1–2 (xG 1.48–1.12)
- 10 Oct · H v Dynamo Dresden 1–1 (xG 1.45–0.61)
- 19 Sep · A v Holstein Kiel 1–1 (xG 1.82–2.10)
- 13 Sep · H v Hertha BSC 1–3 (xG 1.73–2.14)
- 6 Sep · H v Eintracht Braunschweig 3–1 (xG 2.57–2.01)
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLDDL
- 17 Oct · H v Eintracht Braunschweig 2–0 (xG 0.71–1.31)
- 11 Oct · A v Hertha BSC 1–2 (xG 1.06–1.79)
- 18 Sep · H v 1. FC Magdeburg 1–1 (xG 0.70–0.90)
- 12 Sep · A v VfL Bochum 1–1 (xG 1.64–1.53)
- 6 Sep · H v 1. FC Heidenheim 0–1 (xG 0.60–0.88)
Head-to-head
No previous meeting stored.