Felgueiras 1932
2–2
Lusitânia Lourosa
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00
Estadio Dr. Machado de Matos
Joao Goncalves
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
38%
Bookmakers 37%
Draw
29%
Bookmakers 30%
Away win
34%
Bookmakers 32%
Us 38%Bookmakers 37%
Edge +0.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.0%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 38% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +0.4% alone is not enough).
- Home win: 38% against a market price of 37% (+0.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 3 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFelgueiras 1932
WLWLL
- 18 Oct · H v Fafe 1–0
- 12 Oct · A v Benfica B 0–1
- 19 Sep · A v Naval 1893 2–0
- 12 Sep · H v Penafiel 1–2
- 6 Sep · A v Vizela 0–1
Lusitânia Lourosa
WDWWW
- 18 Oct · H v Os Limianos 2–1
- 11 Oct · H v Chaves 1–1
- 20 Sep · A v Madalena 3–1
- 14 Sep · A v Sporting CP B 2–1
- 7 Sep · H v AVS 2–1
Head-to-head
Felgueiras 1932 1 · draws 0 · Lusitânia Lourosa 1, 3.5 goals a game
- 7 Feb 2026 · Lusitânia Lourosa 2–1 Felgueiras 1932 (Segunda Liga)
- 30 Aug 2025 · Felgueiras 1932 3–1 Lusitânia Lourosa (Segunda Liga)