Farense
1–4
Penafiel
Sat 24 Oct, 17:00
Estádio de São Luís
Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal
Match result: no bet
LostHome win
45%
Bookmakers 48%
Draw
27%
Bookmakers 28%
Away win
28%
Bookmakers 24%
Us 45%Bookmakers 48%
Edge -3.1 pts
Uncertainty ±2.4%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 45% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 45% against a market price of 48% (-3.1%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 2 versions of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsFarense
WWWWD
- 17 Oct · H v AD Marco 09 3–0
- 11 Oct · H v Feirense 2–1
- 4 Oct · H v Chaves 4–0
- 20 Sep · A v Sacavenense 1–0
- 13 Sep · A v AVS 0–0
Penafiel
LLWWW
- 17 Oct · H v Leça 0–1
- 9 Oct · H v AVS 1–2
- 19 Sep · A v Oliveirense 2–1
- 12 Sep · A v Felgueiras 1932 2–1
- 5 Sep · H v Academica 4–1
Head-to-head
Farense 0 · draws 2 · Penafiel 0, 1.0 goals a game
- 7 Mar 2026 · Penafiel 1–1 Farense (Segunda Liga)
- 26 Oct 2025 · Farense 0–0 Penafiel (Segunda Liga)