Werder Bremen W
17:00
1899 Hoffenheim W
Thu 29 Oct, 17:00
Weserstadion Platz 11
Davina Lutz
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside. The likely outcomes below agree with the bookmakers instead.
Likely, at a fair price
We agree with the bookmakers: likely to land, but the odds give no edge-
Goals O/U 1.5Over 1.5 goalsUs 83%Books 83% Best odds 1.17 (Bet365)
Match result: no bet
Home win
44%
Bookmakers 45%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 25%
Away win
32%
Bookmakers 30%
Us 44%Bookmakers 45%
Edge -1.8 pts
Uncertainty ±1.9%
Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: only 44% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Home win: 44% against a market price of 45% (-1.8%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsWerder Bremen W
WLDWL
- 25 Oct · H v SC Freiburg W 4–3 (xG 1.40–1.91)
- 2 Oct · A v Bayer Leverkusen W 2–3
- 21 Sep · H v Stuttgart W 1–1
- 11 Sep · H v Hamburger SV W 1–0
- 6 Sep · A v VfL Wolfsburg W 2–3
1899 Hoffenheim W
WWWLL
- 25 Oct · H v Mainz 05 W 3–1 (xG 1.86–0.88)
- 4 Oct · A v Nürnberg W 2–1
- 18 Sep · H v VfL Wolfsburg W 2–1
- 13 Sep · A v Eintracht Frankfurt W 2–4
- 4 Sep · H v Bayer Leverkusen W 1–2
Head-to-head
Werder Bremen W 2 · draws 1 · 1899 Hoffenheim W 1, 1.3 goals a game
- 1 Feb 2026 · 1899 Hoffenheim W 0–0 Werder Bremen W (Frauen Bundesliga)
- 21 Sep 2025 · Werder Bremen W 2–1 1899 Hoffenheim W (Frauen Bundesliga)
- 10 Mar 2025 · Werder Bremen W 1–0 1899 Hoffenheim W (Frauen Bundesliga)
- 6 Oct 2024 · 1899 Hoffenheim W 1–0 Werder Bremen W (Frauen Bundesliga)