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Nürnberg W
15:00
Bayer Leverkusen W
Sun 25 Oct, 15:00 Max-Morlock-Stadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
11%
Bookmakers 11%
Draw
17%
Bookmakers 17%
Away win
73%
Bookmakers 73%
Us 73%Bookmakers 73% Edge -0.2 pts Uncertainty ±1.1%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-4.2% expected per unit).

  • Away win: 73% against a market price of 73% (-0.2%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Nürnberg W

LLLLD
  • 18 Oct · A v Union Berlin W 1–2 (xG 1.16–1.53)
  • 4 Oct · H v 1899 Hoffenheim W 1–2
  • 20 Sep · A v Hamburger SV W 1–5
  • 12 Sep · A v RB Leipzig W 1–2
  • 6 Sep · H v Stuttgart W 3–3

Bayer Leverkusen W

DWWLW
  • 17 Oct · H v Eintracht Frankfurt W 1–1 (xG 0.63–2.13)
  • 2 Oct · H v Werder Bremen W 3–2
  • 20 Sep · A v SC Freiburg W 2–1
  • 14 Sep · H v Bayern Munich W 2–3
  • 4 Sep · A v 1899 Hoffenheim W 2–1

Head-to-head

Nürnberg W 0 · draws 0 · Bayer Leverkusen W 2, 2.5 goals a game

  • 31 Jan 2026 · Bayer Leverkusen W 4–0 Nürnberg W (Frauen Bundesliga)
  • 21 Sep 2025 · Nürnberg W 0–1 Bayer Leverkusen W (Frauen Bundesliga)