Hamburger SV W
16:00
Union Berlin W
Sun 25 Oct, 16:00
Volksparkstadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.
Match result: no bet
Home win
25%
Bookmakers 22%
Draw
23%
Bookmakers 23%
Away win
52%
Bookmakers 55%
Us 52%Bookmakers 55%
Edge -3.4 pts
Uncertainty ±2.5%
Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 52% likely; a bet needs at least 60%.
- Away win: 52% against a market price of 55% (-3.4%).
The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick
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Form and head-to-head
All competitionsHamburger SV W
LLWLD
- 17 Oct · A v FC Koln W 1–3 (xG 0.68–1.14)
- 4 Oct · A v VfL Wolfsburg W 1–2
- 20 Sep · H v Nürnberg W 5–1
- 11 Sep · A v Werder Bremen W 0–1
- 5 Sep · H v RB Leipzig W 1–1
Union Berlin W
WWWLL
- 18 Oct · H v Nürnberg W 2–1 (xG 1.53–1.16)
- 4 Oct · A v Stuttgart W 4–0
- 20 Sep · H v RB Leipzig W 3–2
- 12 Sep · A v FC Koln W 0–3
- 7 Sep · H v Eintracht Frankfurt W 0–1
Head-to-head
Hamburger SV W 0 · draws 1 · Union Berlin W 1, 1.5 goals a game
- 1 May 2026 · Hamburger SV W 0–1 Union Berlin W (Frauen Bundesliga)
- 21 Nov 2025 · Union Berlin W 1–1 Hamburger SV W (Frauen Bundesliga)