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Hamburger SV W
4–4
Union Berlin W
Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Volksparkstadion Angelika Soder

Match result: no bet

Lost
Home win
26%
Bookmakers 26%
Draw
25%
Bookmakers 26%
Away win
50%
Bookmakers 48%
Us 50%Bookmakers 48% Edge +2.0 pts Uncertainty ±2.0%

Most likely away win, but we would not bet on it: only 50% likely; a bet needs at least 60% (value +2.0% alone is not enough).

  • Away win: 50% against a market price of 48% (+2.0%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 4 versions of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

Hamburger SV W

LLWLD
  • 17 Oct · A v FC Koln W 1–3 (xG 0.68–1.14)
  • 4 Oct · A v VfL Wolfsburg W 1–2
  • 20 Sep · H v Nürnberg W 5–1
  • 11 Sep · A v Werder Bremen W 0–1
  • 5 Sep · H v RB Leipzig W 1–1

Union Berlin W

WWWLL
  • 18 Oct · H v Nürnberg W 2–1 (xG 1.53–1.16)
  • 4 Oct · A v Stuttgart W 4–0
  • 20 Sep · H v RB Leipzig W 3–2
  • 12 Sep · A v FC Koln W 0–3
  • 7 Sep · H v Eintracht Frankfurt W 0–1

Head-to-head

Hamburger SV W 0 · draws 1 · Union Berlin W 1, 1.5 goals a game

  • 1 May 2026 · Hamburger SV W 0–1 Union Berlin W (Frauen Bundesliga)
  • 21 Nov 2025 · Union Berlin W 1–1 Hamburger SV W (Frauen Bundesliga)