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1899 Hoffenheim W
12:00
Mainz 05 W
Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Dietmar-Hopp Stadion
No bet worth taking on this match. None of its markets beats the bookmakers' price by more than our own uncertainty, so we stand aside.

Match result: no bet

Home win
83%
Bookmakers 84%
Draw
11%
Bookmakers 11%
Away win
6%
Bookmakers 5%
Us 83%Bookmakers 84% Edge -1.1 pts Uncertainty ±1.0%

Most likely home win, but we would not bet on it: no profit at the best price (-1.8% expected per unit).

  • Home win: 83% against a market price of 84% (-1.1%).

The full reasoning, 20 more markets and 1 version of this pick

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Form and head-to-head

All competitions

1899 Hoffenheim W

WWLLL
  • 4 Oct · A v Nürnberg W 2–1
  • 18 Sep · H v VfL Wolfsburg W 2–1
  • 13 Sep · A v Eintracht Frankfurt W 2–4
  • 4 Sep · H v Bayer Leverkusen W 1–2
  • 28 Aug · A v FC Koln W 0–1

Mainz 05 W

LLLLL
  • 18 Oct · H v VfL Wolfsburg W 0–5 (xG 0.28–2.34)
  • 3 Oct · A v RB Leipzig W 0–5
  • 18 Sep · H v Eintracht Frankfurt W 2–3
  • 13 Sep · A v SC Freiburg W 0–3
  • 5 Sep · H v FC Koln W 0–4

Head-to-head

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